The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research - CAWCR Workshop on Ensemble Prediction and Data Assimilation 2009

CAWCR Workshop on Ensemble Prediction and Data Assimilation 2009

This CAWCR workshop would not be possible without the generous support of the British Council Australia

The ACCESS group in the Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR) will hold a workshop on Ensemble Prediction and Data Assimilation in the Southern Hemisphere summer, 16-19 February, 2009 in Melbourne, Australia at the Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins St Docklands

Dealing with the inherent uncertainty of environmental modelling is one of the major issues facing meteorology, oceanography and hydrology. The move from deterministic to probabilistic prediction is a rapidly growing area of research and of considerable social and economic importance. The use of ensemble (or Monte Carlo) techniques for such large and complex nonlinear systems provides considerable scientific and technological challenges. In recognition of the importance of this area, the World Meteorological Organization has set up a ten year research program, THORPEX.

The aim of the Workshop is to cover recent developments in probabilistic numerical weather prediction extending from fundamental theoretical examinations of the underlying physical and numerical challenges, to state of the art systems and methods of validation. It is expected that the workshop will provide a forum for a wide ranging discussion with relevance to atmospheric and oceanographic flows, hydrological processes and general mathematical theory that will guide future ACCESS development in ensemble prediction and data assimilation.

Oral contributions to the workshop are a combination of invited and contributed presentations, made at the discretion of the Scientific Committee. Early career researchers from the United Kingdom have been kindly supported by the British Council, and those from Australia by ARCNESS. Keynote and invited speakers have also been generously supported by the Water Division and CSIRO Mathematical & Information Sciences.

While no registration fees are required, all attendees are requested to register with the organizers by Wed. 11 Feb to assist with security passes and catering. Since space is limited, unregistered people can not be guaranteed entry to the workshop.

On the 18th February there will also be a Public Lecture by Dr Roberto Buizza of the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts directed towards science journalists and other interested members of the public.

Major papers from this workshop will be published in a special edition of the Australian Meteorological Magazine.

Organising Committee: Peter Steinle (chair) , Kamal Puri , Terence O'Kane , Michael Naughton , Beth Ebert

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